REAL Fact-Check: Illegal Immigrants Far More Likely to Commit Crimes

‘…a level of criminality that is multiplicatively higher than the U.S. population…’

Multiple Illegal Entries, Attacks on Police, Get Alien Only a Year in Prison

Immigration and Customs Enforcement/PHOTO: ICE

(Joshua Paladino, Liberty Headlines) Open borders supporters in the media and policy realm push the narrative that illegal immigrants commit crimes at a much slower rate than U.S. citizens and legal noncitizens.

President Donald Trump recently gave a speech to people whose family members were killed by immigrant immigrants.

“I always hear that, ‘Oh, no, the population is safer than the people that live in the country.’ You’ve heard that, fellas. Right? You’ve heard that. I hear it so much. And I say, ‘Is that possible?’ The answer is it’s not true,” Trump said.

The Associated Press fact-checked his statement and reported that it was false based on studies from social scientists and the Cato Institute.

They also said Trump failed to differentiate between civil and criminal infractions when he cited 3 million arrests of illegal immigrants in 2010.

But James Agresti from Just Facts Daily, a non-partisan research institute, fact-checked the AP’s fact check and found it riddled with statistical errors and biases.

Agresti said facts alone give a better picture of illegal immigrants and crime than complex academic studies.

“…comprehensive, straightforward facts from primary sources—namely the Obama administration Census Bureau and Department of Justice—prove that illegal immigrants are far more likely to commit serious crimes than the U.S. population,” he wrote.

Even these facts do not give the whole picture, since sanctuary cities and the federal government do not record or publish much information about illegal immigrants, usually to promote a political agenda.

Governments have even hidden statistics about illegal aliens.

Agresti gave three basic facts that he said debunked the “illegal immigrants commit less crimes” farce.

First, he cited U.S. Census data that showed noncitizens (legal or illegal) were 7 percent more likely to go to prison than citizens between 2011 and 2015.

Second, he showed Department of Justice statistics that documented 1.5 million deportations of noncitizens who were convicted of crimes between 2005 and 2015.

During this decade, the U.S. deported 10 times more citizens than it incarcerated in 2015.

Third, Agresti presented a DOJ report that found the average person released from prison has 3.9 prior convictions.

“This means that people in prison are often repeat offenders—but as shown by the previous fact, masses of convicted criminals have been deported, making it hard for them to reoffend and end up in a U.S. prison,” he wrote.

All this evidence reveals that prison population statistics vastly underestimate the number of illegal immigrants who have committed crimes.

“In other words, even after deporting 10 times more noncitizens convicted of crimes than are in U.S. prisons and jails, they are still 7% more likely to be incarcerated than the general public,” Agresti wrote. “This indicates a level of criminality that is multiplicatively higher than the U.S. population.”

This still understates the criminality of illegal noncitizens, since the statistics do not distinguish between legal and illegal noncitizens.


Agresti said nearly all crimes committed by noncitizens are committed by those who are illegal because legal noncitizens are 79 percent less likely to go to prison.

He attributes this to America’s strong vetting system for legal immigrants: “…they must pass a full FBI background check, demonstrate they have good moral character, show they will not be a financial burden on taxpayers, and take a public oath of allegiance to the U.S. Constitution.”

“If legal immigrants were removed from the equation, the incarceration rate of illegal immigrants would probably be about twice as high as for all noncitizens,” Agresti wrote.